1st Session — Increases the chances of understanding the product's core value during the first session.
1st Retention — Encourages returning to the product for the first time.
Trial to Paid — How close does it bring to the first payment?
Expansion — Most new users sit alone in their accounts. How many users can this invite?
Reach — How many new users will be affected by this within a week?
Confidence criteria evaluate the problem validation level and potential solutions' reliability:
Problem validation — Validity/prevalence of the problem for new users?
Solution confidence — Confidence that the proposed solution will solve the problem?
Resource criteria help to estimate the resources needed for testing the hypothesis:
Front Time — Time Estimations for Front-End Development.
Back Time — Time estimates for back-end development.
Design Time — Time estimates for designing the hypothesis.
Budget — Should we spend money on hypothesis testing?
Content — How long does it take to write content for the hypothesis.
Copy the current template to your Ducalis.io account.
Check the hypothesis backlog. Sync your existing growth ideas from your task tracker (Jira, Asana, Linear, ClickUp, Trello, Github, or YouTrack).
Edit evaluation criteria. Remove those you don't need, and edit the description to match your business. Try to assign more than one person per criterion to reduce bias.
Invite your teammates for team prioritization. Assign specific criteria to specific roles that can precisely estimate them. For example, Front Time for front-end developers, Problem for analytics, Design time for designers, etc.
(Optional) Turn on the evaluation poker to reduce estimation bias. This way, each teammate can evaluate ideas without seeing each other's votes.
Run the prioritization session.
Check Team Alignment to see if there are any different estimations. For example, whether it's a really valuable problem or not, or if it's a really large project, etc.?
Pick the most promising ideas to start working on.
Use a public voting board to publish your experiment flow for all teammates.
Repeat the process in 4 sprints as you have a new hypothesis, new data, and solutions to the existing process. To change the estimation cycle, edit the Score Expiration section.